IN RUSSIA THE ONE WHO WINS LOSES.
IN RUSSIA THE ONE WHO WINS LOSES.
At us divide not the power, and responsibility.
CARTE BLANCHE.
Victor Viktorovich Guschin - the political scientist.
IN MY OPINION, has come it is time to recognise obvious: at us nobody wants
The proxy and responsible power. Therefore everything, that appears connected
With its gain - "reorganisation", reforms, putsches, mutinies, governmental
Crises and the palace revolutions everyone there elections, - in actual fact appear
Empty efforts, imitation. At us here fifteen years goes not so much
Struggle for the power, how much finding-out of relations, to whom for what to respond on whose
Share will get more "cones" for outstanding promises, for lie, a deceit and
Cheating.
Not to be unfounded, I will tell about two episodes confirming
The told.
So, an episode the first. Kind people (in bulgakovskom sense of this concept)
On last presidential elections have advised Boris Nikolaevicha's to command
Yeltsin to meet Victor Guschin about acquaintance with
The offer how to win elections. Such meeting has taken place in
President-hotel. Conversation with Tatyana Dyachenko has seemed to me interesting, but
As a result it has appeared ineffectual. And it was offered here that (I result endurances
From passed it of "an analytical note"):
"How campaign for elections is developed today
The president of Russia B.N.Yeltsin, its organizers suppose the serious
Ustanovochno-strategic error: all spadework is conducted
Thus, as though it was a question only of achievement of the victory without
The account of its qualitative parametres. However dialectic feature of the moment
It is that, that B.N.Yeltsin is necessary for winning not simply in June, and to win
Shatteringly.
In this connection in the strategic concept of the presidential selective
Serious moving of accent is necessary B.N.Yeltsin's for campaign. From the rate
Only on a victory (it at all visible sharpness of pre-election struggle
It is provided), it needs to be transferred on achievement political and
Moral and psychological defeat of opposition in all it ipostasjah. It
Assumes use of absolutely other technologies, than what
Are applied nowadays by a pre-election staff.
B.N.Yeltsin's all election campaign should be under construction thus,
That she created preconditions for a decisive step of the president on
The final stage. This step should be shocking, discouraging,
Beating out at contenders soil from under feet. To achieve it against
Antagonisms with only one left it is impossible. Business needs to be conducted thus,
That responsibility for the arisen crisis situation laid down not on one
Only communists, and on opposition as that.
This step, on the one hand, should correspond to political image
B.N.Yeltsin as person courageous, charismatic, capable in
The critical moment to accept the correct decision, and with another is unique -
To be naturally close to an istoriko-psychological warehouse Russian
Citizens. This "warehouse", or as now began fashionable to speak, mentality,
Most of all is afraid of anarchy, distempers, necessities it is independent
To make of the decision.
This fear of the people before loss "the father native" it is always successful
It was used by the Russian sovereigns in critical for them and the country
The moments. Many of them in a pointed manner left the Kremlin, declared the
Readiness to abdicate under a pretext, that intrigues of boyars and indifference
The people to the destiny and destiny of the state actually deprive the power
Necessary powers without which to provide in Russia the civil world,
Order, let alone well-being, it is impossible.
Similar actions - an original Russian historical know-how,
To neglect which it is not necessary. They always (except for only case with
Nikolay II. But it had a contender who really wanted and
Achieved the power therefore so it is easy it and has received) led to one and that
To result: both obstinate boyars, and the frightened idle time ljud fell heavily
To sovereign in feet, asking it not to throw the country and the people on a destiny arbitrariness. In
The period with 1923 for 1927 when the question who after V.Lenin was solved
Will head Bolshevik party and the Soviet Russia, I.Stalin six times put
Before directing bodies of party and the state a question on the own
To voluntary retirement, actually each time strengthening pressure on
Contenders and uttering itself the increasing powers.
Has come it is time to think of such step and B.N.Yeltsin. As others
Ways politically and psychologically to crush opposition, to force it
For a long time to absorb a head in shoulders, similar, does not remain. The plan should
To be started"weeks for two-three before the planned date of elections, that the people and
The opposition frightened to death by real prospect to remain with the people with
To eye approximately, "had time" to persuade the president to remain on the post ".
(Further there was a transfer of that is concrete for carrying out of this action
It is necessary to do.).
However available chance to crush opposition and to receive in the hands all
Completeness of power B.N. Yeltsin and its environment have not used. And it is perfect
Clearly why. Win B.N.Yeltsin under the scheme offered it, what it
It did without such "scarecrow", as the present State Duma, on whom
Brought down all sins whom would accuse of intrigues and irresponsibility whom
Replaced from an armchair in an armchair who would create visibility of its resistance
To "reformatory" efforts.
As a result there was that, as should happen: in a political life
On the eve of forthcoming elections, both parliamentary, and presidential,
The same problems, as in 1995 - 1996, only are reproduced
Now on it is total proigryshnyh both for the power, and for opposition
Conditions.
It would seem, the arisen situation should induce "left" to
To rallying to mobilise them for a gain of the power, which to all signs
And so it is ready to fall in the substituted hands, as the become overripe fruit. An is not present. We
Became witnesses of squabbles, scandals and split in the ranks of left. At first they
When the presidential power at the moment of next illness B.N.
Yeltsin seemed practically failed, declared the intention to go on
Elections "three columns".
Then the number of "columns" began to grow: from communists and levopatrioticheskih
Forces the most appreciable political figures have quickly broken away -
Alexey Podberezkin with the "the Spiritual heritage", Aman Tuleyev with the
"Political charisma", Michael Lapshin with the "country sharpness". In
Gennady Zyuganov's camp have sighed with simplification. Now "to win all
Let's equally win", but in parts. And just it is enough of it, that and henceforth
Only to simulate struggle for the power, but not to possess the most proxy
The power. So, and responsibility.
The come out assumption, certainly, hypothetical, but leaning on
The objective logic of events and on real previous experience of dialogue with
Gennady Zyuganov. In the summer of 1996, in an interval between the first and second round
Elections, to me (besides with assistance of ubiquitous kind people) have got in
Hands the materials telling, in what panic there was pre-election a staff
Boris Yeltsin after the first round. 3 % of advantage looked insignificant,
Especially if to consider, that general Alexander Lebed who has typed in the first round
15 % of voices, itself considered four of five voters potential
Gennady Zyuganov's supporters.
In the second round these voices quite could remove to "to the lawful
To the owner ". An exchange of opinions between members of a Yeltsin staff about that,
As well as than to "buy" not only the Swan, but also organizers of elections and
Calculation of voices on polling districts, was so hot,
Frank and cynical, that publicity of these materials inevitably should was
To lead Boris Yeltsin to shattering defeat in the second round.
I also have suggested to make it to Gennady Zyuganov: wish to win - win.
But he even has not given a hint anywhere, that to it is conducted about reigning in the selective
Staff of the president to a panic. Have not appeared, by itself, these documents and in
The party communistic press.
More shortly, the present proxy power and real responsibility before
The people in Russia anybody today does not want. At least among the main things
Applicants for the power. Here before what political paradox we
Have appeared on a threshold of forthcoming elections.
Postscript. There can be a question: and in what, actually, sense of mine
"Double-dealing"? On the one hand, to help Boris Yeltsin, and with another -
To Gennady Zyuganov? To me as to an analyst, is counter-indicative to have any
Political liking or antipathies. If want, even belief. If
Both these of the figure as, however, and all the others, exist in quality
Real persons of political process, to me all is uniform: that Yeltsin, that
Zyuganov, that Gaydar, that Luzhkov. If they have the equal rights before the law
And real influence on political process, means, have the right and on
The objective analysis of the activity. My personal relation to them
It is defined by unique criterion: if they have wallowed in the politician on
The ears then did not create nonsenses. Not in a status to benefit
- Then caused harm and a damage less.
//* an information Source: the Independent newspaper, 3.07.99
//* Reg. Nom. - 1090700034.19-------------------------------------------
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